Market & News

Market Situation: Tellurium

China is by far the largest producer of tellurium and thus holds a dominant position in the global market. However, it is difficult to determine exactly how large China’s share actually is, as reliable data is not available for several producing countries. According to estimates by the United States Geological Survey (USGS), the U.S. agency responsible for geoscientific data and mineral statistics, China accounted for approximately 80 percent of recorded global production in 2025. 

Since February 2025, export controls on tellurium have been in effect in the People’s Republic. These controls apply to metallic tellurium as well as certain compounds such as cadmium telluride, cadmium-zinc telluride, and mercury-cadmium telluride. A government license is required for their export. China justifies these measures, among other things, on the grounds of national security and the dual-use nature of the affected products, which can be used for both civilian and military purposes. 

The export restrictions are particularly relevant for the photovoltaic industry, as cadmium telluride is used in thin-film solar cells. At the same time, supply can only be expanded to a limited extent, since tellurium is primarily obtained as a byproduct of copper refining.

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Recent developments

As a result of Chinese export controls that have been in effect since February 2025, the availability of tellurium on the global market has declined. Since then, exports have required the submission of license applications and the provision of information regarding the end user and the intended use of the material. 

These measures are affecting a market that is already small and highly concentrated. Since China accounts for the majority of global tellurium production and the metal is primarily obtained as a byproduct, it is difficult to compensate for shortfalls or delays in Chinese shipments in the short term. 

Outlook on the Supply Situation for Tellurium

Future supply shortages cannot be ruled out. These could affect the solar industry in particular, as tellurium is needed to manufacture cadmium telluride thin-film modules. Demand is likely to continue to rise as photovoltaic technology expands worldwide. 

At the same time, supply can only be expanded to a limited extent, since tellurium is primarily obtained as a byproduct of copper refining. The U.S. Department of Energy therefore anticipates that, without a significant expansion of production capacity, demand could exceed supply in the future. 

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